The Kingdom of Cambodia, faced with a buildup of exogenous shocks, has officially revised downward its economic growth trajectory for the current fiscal year. Set at 5% in the initial 2026 finance law, the GDP growth forecast has been lowered to 4.2% by Prime Minister Hun Manet, as part of the medium-term budgetary framework report published last April. This revision illustrates the persistent fragility of a development model still exposed to external turbulence.

The latest Asian Development Outlook (ADO), published in September 2025 by the Asian Development Bank (ADB), paints a nuanced picture of Cambodia's economic trajectory, oscillating between notable resilience and growing risks that require vigilance and adaptation.